Confessions of a Card Counter

My Story

The movie '21' spawned a whole new generation of card counters of whom I am proud to be one.
However, the path to becoming a card counter was not as easy as I thought.

Click here to read my story

A Blog By:

Advantage PlayerTaj London: Advantage Player
Advantage gambling, or advantage play, refers to a practice of using legal ways to gain a mathematical advantage while gambling ...

Initial Bankroll: $3,000
Earnings to date: $12,355
Bankroll Spending: $6,000
Current Bankroll: $9,355
Last Update: 19th Sept 2010
Current Status: On Hiatus

Attack of the ploppies

So today was yet another day of counting cards where I got to play with some idiot ploppies. I feel the need to rant about it, so bear with me!

A ploppy is an everyday blackjack gambler who 'plops' themselves on a stool around the table in the 'hope' of winning. They do not count cards and normally have no idea about basic strategy.

Now don't get me wrong when you read this. I don't hate ploppies, after all they keep casinos in business. It's just painful to watch them make not only incorrect, but plainly stupid plays and it's more than annoying when their bad play ruins my hands (even though I know that in the end it will average out and should ignore it). I'm so used to having the tables all to myself most of the time (no I don't get heat), that I've gotten used to playing really fast. The more hands I can fit in, the more my average hourly earnings. This is one of my secrets to growing my bankroll faster than is expected.


So here I was, just starting a third shoe. Finally the true count goes high enough for me to start ramping the bets and it's still early in the shoe. All of a sudden, a ploppy arrives at the table (no, he wasn't back counting), slightly drunk and fumbles for some cash. Last thing I want to do is share my high count with some know nothing ploppy.

He takes first base and the dealer deals him in. He gets an A, I get a 6, and the dealer a 10! I can't help but feel gutted that this ploppy stole my blackjack just when I ramped my bet. I also ended up losing the hand. The arrival of the ploppy, funnily enough, leads to a winning streak for him, and a losing streak for me with a nice high true count, so my bankroll was diminishing quickly.

Now, as a card counter, I know that I should ignore ALL ploppy plays. In the long run, it is going to have no effect on my earnings. Just chalk it up to variance and forget about it. But in the here and now, it's hard to ignore.

The ploppy started to build a nice stack of $5 chips and increased his bets, thinking his luck was in. A small 5 hand losing streak wiped him out, and he was gone! Thank god. Bye Bye ploppy.

But the night wasn't over yet. I was quickly joined by 4 young gents on a night on the town. I had sat myself in third base by this time, so was last in the action. The last of the young gents fancied himself a bit of a know it all. He would hit a 14 against a 4, stick on 15 against a 9, etc etc. All wrong plays according to Basic Strategy dummy! But what really made me laugh is when he turned to his friend and said "See all those 10's? That means we won't win the next hand". Little did he realise the true count was upto +3 by this stage.

The arrival of the new ploppies started another losing streak as their bad plays turned winning hands into losing ones for me. (Yes, yes! I know, ignore it - it's part of variance - it will all be good in the end).

But wait there's more! Next came the drunk player. You know what I'm talking about. So inebriated, he barely knows what he's doing. This was the last straw, after playing 2 hands where I had to wait 5 mins each time for him to make a decision, I just had to get up and leave. After all, time is money.

I ended the night up 2.5 units. So at least something came out of it.

Am I becoming immune to fear?

I was back at my local haunt tonight playing heads up against the dealer. It was one of those up and down struggles with some huge swings and some high true counts. At one point during the evening I was down about 80 units ($400), but was feeling calm and relaxed. I was confident in feeling that it was just one of those swings that I've become so accustomed to.

But it did make me think back to the very first time I lost money playing blackjack. It was nearly a year ago, I was still a newbie and hadn't fully mastered counting cards yet. I just went to the casino with my limited skills to see what it felt like. I only had a $100 lining my pocket and needless to say it quickly disappeared. At the time I felt devastated. $100 may be small change to many people, but not to me at the time. The thought that I'd thrown the money away for nothing chilled me to the very bones.

Yet here I am a year on. $400 down and not even a wrinkle of doubt crosses my forehead. The dealers notice my bored expression. They must be thinking "lucky bastard to be throwing money like that without a care in the world, I'm glad it's me cleaning him out!".

You see. I have experience on my side now. I know that this is part of the dance that we call counting cards. Sometimes you'll win, sometimes you'll lose. I've got to the point now that I'm relying entirely on my winnings to support my blackjack bankroll. I know that in the end I'm going to come out ahead, numbers are on my side.

Have I become immune to the fear? Definitely not. I still get nervous every time the dealer turns over their next card. Is it going to bust them, or are they going to get another unlikely 21. I've seen some crazy streaks in my time. Another losing streak like the one I suffered in February could wipe my bankroll out entirely. My bankroll is not that big that it can support itself indefinitely (cause I had to spend a large portion on some unforeseen expenses). But I do not rely on card counting to support myself. I have a day job as well as other investments and business interests. Blackjack is a part time job/hobby for me.

So what is it that I really fear? That I am becoming the degenerate gambler that I pretend to be so many nights. Counting cards requires a great deal of will power and self restraint. Something that comes easier to some than other. As long as I can keep blackjack only a small part of my life I think I'll be fine though.

Anyway, this weekend has ended up being extremely profitable for me. I ended up with an amazing winning streak on a high count (winning over 10 hands in a row, double handed with doubles, splits, blackjacks the works!). Considering I'm back at the lower limits, my takings for this weekend were a smidge over $1,500. Why didn't I get this streak when I had jumped up to the high level? That's life eh?

Back to work tomorrow. Will be another couple of weeks before I can hit the tables again.

Where have you been?

Got a few mails asking me where I disappeared to. I stopped my card counting activities for a few months due to a death in the family and some heavy negative variances on the tables.

I also decided to relaunch my poker website, http://www.pokeradore.com/. I had forgotten how much I enjoyed doing a little web design every now and then.

So all in all I have kept away from the blackjack tables for a while. But I ventured out again to some local haunts tonight for a little card counting fun.

Unlike my first trips, I was feeling very relaxed and uninhibited. My skills are a little rusty, but I'm back to playing table minimum these days so I can't do too much damage. The stress is a lot less when you play low limits compared to the high limits I had reached a few months ago.

Glad to report that I made a quick 38 unit profit (about spot on for my EV) before retiring once again to my normal life.

Aim to post a little more regularly now for those of you who have started to follow this blog now. Don't worry, am very much alive, kicking and counting!

Encounters with other Counters

Catchy title eh?

Since the day I started counting, I have come across three other counters. 3 times more than I expected and in such a short period of time too! I know there are lots of counters out there, but honestly, I never expected to come across any in my back water town. But I did.

Encounter 1 - And I would have gotten away with it too if wasn't for those rotten kids!
My first encounter was within weeks of starting my counting career. I was playing at one of my favourite properties, playing very low limits and barely spreading at all (I was still a novice at this time). I noticed a couple of kids hanging around too.
They were barely 18, or probably younger. Wasting their time before they took off to Uni. One was playing some poker game against the house, the other joined me at the table when I sat down and opened a new table. I thought little of it at the time, but soon realised the little rat was wonging on me! Whenever I raised my bets in accordance with the TC, he would open a new box. I wouldn't have minded so much, but the little shit was hitting easy doubles and blackjacks, while I was losing. Then when the count dropped, he would wong out and wait.
Well, too bad for me. He was wonging like you're supposed too, leaving me to see every hand, but when he signaled his friend over to join him ... that was too much for me.
I started to wong too, quicker then them. As soon as the count dropped to TC 0, I quickly removed my chips and left them to tough out the -EV hands. Unfortunately for them, their bankroll was too small to support a spread of any kind and they quickly lost all their money. Tough luck kids, but I don't want your sloppy play getting me noticed. It's way too obvious when we raise our bets together.

Encounter 1 - The Doctor
The following month, I was playing at another property (the one I got burned out of in my last post). I was doing okay, and up about 40 units. A young, professional looking gentleman come up to the table and introduced himself as Dr. Raj, visiting from another city. Would I mind if joined me. No problem.
Within the first few hands the TC rose to +2 and we both spread from 1 to 4 on multiple hands. I made some weak comment about 'if the Dr has a feeling, I'm going with him' to take the attention off me. We won all the hands. He said - 'Did you see all those fives? That meant it was a good time to bet big!'. What the hell? Was this guy a counter or just some guy who knew small cards bad, big cards good. The count fell, we reduced our bets and then he wonged out until the next shoe.
Yep, he was a counter. Beyond his fake identity, he was using no cover, and with the two of us at the table I was taking no chances at being made at one of my favourite properties. So I left and let him get on with it.

Encounter 3 - The Old Lady
Early Feb 2009, and I visited my low limits property in town. To my surprise, I found an old lady already playing blackjack (instead of pontoon which is what they usually play). She was terrible, but playing the bottom table limit, so not losing a fortune. I watched her hit a 14 against a 16 and complain when she bust, split tens and all other basic strategy no-no's.
I joined in on the next shoe and began the counters waltz. Waiting for high counts to throw down some big bets. The count rose, my bets did, and so did hers! Not only that, she was no longer making Basic Strategy mistakes. What was going on here?
The count soared to TC +5, we both had some big bets down and proceeded to lose solid hands against an unlucky dealer 6 turning into a 21.
'That shouldn't have happened you know' - she commented to me.
We continued to play, whilst she dropped subtle hints that we were using the same system. Her play wasn't as sharp as mine. She was making a few small basic strategy mistakes and did not have a clue how to use indices. On top of that, she was barely spreading. Using a measly 1:2 spread at TC+2 and a 1:5 spread at high TCs. Not a winning game. However, she was varying from 1 hand to multiple hands, and this was making up for her weak spread. Barely.
Also, she didn't realise I was doing a little shuffle tracking on the side.
Very soon we were backing eachothers hands as a way to get money on the table. I was pretending to follow her psychic powers to avert attention from myself, and betting big when ever I saw her place some chips behind my hand.
As other players joined the table, it turned she was fairly well known at this property, and that she apparently never lost.
I ended the night when I was up 140 units, having had a lot of fun and made a new blackjack buddy.

Lessons Learned
1. There are other counters out there, and they're all better wongers than me.
2. As I've read in other places, never play with other counters - you are going to bring down heat. Best to call it a night. (With the exception of last story where I was able to turn it around and take advantage of it, pretending to be a ploppy who had found a good luck charm).
3. Never, NEVER discuss counting in the casino. The old lady from encounter 3 was very excited to meet another counter and was dying to swap notes with me, but I shut her down quickly at every turn until she got the hint. Best not to let the casino know you've got a system that's beating them.
4. It is easy to spot a counter. If I can do it so quickly, why can't pit bosses?
This means that either casinos have no clue how to spot a counter since they don't count themselves, or like me, they saw that some players might be able to count, but were unable to implement it sufficiently to beat the casino.
The old lady in encounter 3 played a break even game at best. Not something the casinos would bother too much about as she kept the table open for other players to join in.
The kids in encounter 1 were still profitable customers as they were unable to spread at all, and would lose money at other table games.

The Polite Back-Off

One of the problems with being one of only a few players playing blackjack in my area is that casinos quickly start to notice that the tables are not making them as much money as they were expecting. When the tables actually start to lose them money, they really start to pay attention and there's only one person to look at, me!

One of the first casinos that I chose to display my skills at offers a single blackjack table, $5-$50 limits, 4 deck and a 75% penetration. A good place to develop my blackjack advantage player skills as the limits were in my range, I could play heads-up and I didn't mind getting backed off from there if I was caught.

In my first month of play, my bankroll went up and down, but stayed pretty much at the same level. I was still developing my skills and was yet to turn them profitable. But with some free comps it was time well spent.
By my third month playing, things were a lot more serious and I was starting to show some decent profit. Over $5,000 in a single month (although I was actually down at other casinos during this same period so net profit was still within an expected range).

I was actually surprised at how little heat I was getting. The Pit Bosses were pretty much dozing off at my play even though I was spreading like a madman. I guess they knew little about card counting, only that the house always wins in the end.

But, one evening when I turned up for play as usual, I was confronted with 6 decks of cards instead of the usual 4. What's worse, only 50% penetration. That's 3 out of 6 decks cut off every shoe. Unacceptable for any card counter. With half the shoe gone every time, high true counts necessary to beat the game become very rare indeed. Even shuffle tracking or any other skills become less effective with half a blind shoe every shuffle.

In effect, they had secured their game against all card counters. Their game is now unbeatable (at least to a regular card counter like me).

But why change their rules? Why not just bar me if they suspected me of counting?

Maybe it had merely been a corporate decision to change the rules and nothing to do with me (although I doubt that), or maybe my camoflauge had partially worked. There was no way a dumb gambler like me could beat their game. By slyly changing factors out of my control, maybe they thought I wouldn't realise that my strategy was no longer effective against their game and continue to play, except for this time, they would have the advantage.

I think not. I've done my research and I know that a 50% penetration is not a beatable game for a regular card counter like myself. So I took notice of the polite invitation to take my game elsewhere and left.

My Story: How I became a Card Counter

The movie '21' spawned a whole new generation of card counters. I was one of them.

Before watching '21', I was barely aware that blackjack was a beatable game.
Sure I'd heard of people with the 'magical' abilities to track cards and who were able to use their skills in casinos to beat card games and make money, but I'd also heard that this was considered cheating and people caught counting were backroomed and taught a brutal lesson. I knew nothing of the MIT blackjack team, or the book by Ben Mezerich, 'Bringing Down The House', that the movie was based on.

Now, I'd played blackjack years ago, when I was a kid. I like cards and numbers. Blackjack always seemed like a beatable game to me. But I quickly learned it wasn't. Luckily for me I only lost a couple of hundred to learn this lesson before I gave up. Casinos are businesses. They are there to make money for their shareholders, not to give it away. The games are tilted in their favour. You can't make money from blackjack, or so I thought.

21 The Movie
21 is based on Ben Mezerich's book 'Bringing Down The House', which is based on the true life story of the MIT Blackjack Team. The movie came out early 2008, and I myself saw the movie in May 2008. It potrays the life of a MIT student, recruited into the MIT BlackJack Team. The team use a combination of card counting and a division of labour (team play) to take Vegas for Millions! The movie, whilst pretty far from the reality of the actual life experiences of the MIT Blackjack team, was entertaining.

I watched, enjoyed and quickly forgot about the movie. After all, I was no MIT calibre genius. I did not know how to count, had no clue what all this basic strategy stuff was about and where was I going to find a team of geniuses to join up with?

It was a month later that a friend of mine, Zola (not real name), approached me with the idea of giving it a shot. Zola was a business associate and friend. We had been looking at starting a new business venture together for some time, but nothing appropriate had come up so far. We had looked into importing, opening a bureau, manufacturing and several other businesses, but our problem was that we wanted guaranteed success, something that just doesn't happen in business.

Zola thought that here was something that two fairly intelligent guys could sink their teeth into. The movie made it all seem so easy to make money. It would be a great part time hobby, and a way to raise capital for our other ventures.

Researching Card Counting
Now, when I first started looking into card counting, I was not convinced that it was possible. I knew 21 was based on a true story, and that there was some truth behind the story, but how far distorted was the story and more importantly, could someone like me learn to count cards? The movie '21' portrayed the fact that it took a mathematical genius to have any success at card counting. I'm pretty sure that I'm no genius.

Zola and I decided from the beginning that we would not put any money on the line unless we were fully confident it was something that we could do. We would need to test it fully. But first we had to find out how to count cards.

So I plugged 'blackjack', 'card counting', 'MIT' and 'team play' into my good friend google. After all, at this point all I knew about card counting was that it required team play. After a little searching, I came across a DVD called 'Beating BlackJack with Andy Bloch' The name Andy Bloch rang a bell as one of the members of the MIT Team and it seemed the perfect place to start. Who better to learn card counting from, then one of the original members of the MIT Team tnat the movie '21' was based on.

Step 1 - Learn Basic Strategy
Now, whilst I waited for the Beating BlackJack with Andy Bloch DVD to arrive, I scoured some of the multitude of free online resources to learn more about card counting. There are tons of posts all over the interenet about card counting, but very few resources telling you how to do it. Further more, there are even fewer that explain team play, and since that was what I associated card counting with, I tended to ignore the majority of these 'unhelpful' posts.

However, one common theme that came across was something called 'Basic Strategy'.

'Basic Strategy' is a set of mathematically proven playing recommendations on how to play BlackJack to achieve a maximum EV. It tells you when to hit, stand, double, split and surrender. From my poker days, I was well aware of how these kinds of charts worked. You see what cards you have, what the dealer has and the chart tells you what to play.

Basic Strategy is the logical place to start. You need to know how to play the game if you want to beat it.

I came across this neat website with a basic strategy engine. You tell it what kind of game you are playing and it gives you the appropriate chart for that game (i.e. how many decks, local rules etc). Of course, at this point, I was oblivious to all the different variations of blackjack and simply downloaded the first chart I saw.

The chart looked pretty straight forward and most of the plays seemed obvious. Doubling 10 against a dealers 9 or less was a gimme, and hitting 16 or less against a dealers 10 was a no-brainer. This basic strategy stuff was going to be easy-peasy.

Learning to count with Andy Bloch
Within a few days I had my hands on the Beating BlackJack DVD.

I called my buddy Zola around and we watched it. Then we watched it again.
The DVD had shades of the movie '21', with mock situations of Andy Bloch evading casinos Pit Bosses and rushing loot out of the casino. (Of course, Andy Bloch's DVD was made well before the movie '21' so who copied whom eh?).

ZoLa and I watched the DVD several times. It made the whole thing look exciting and easy. Our favourite bit was where the team wins $80,000 in a single hand right at the end! It was so exciting that we couldn't wait to get started.

The DVD laid out exactly what we needed to do to become card counters.
1. Learn Basic Strategy
2. Learn to Count Cards using the simple Hi-Lo system
3, Assign your team roles and hit the casinos!

With basic strategy already under my belt, it was time to learn how to count cards.

Step 2 - Learn how to count cards
Using the DVD to learn to count cards saved a bunch of time. Andy Bloch uses the Hi-Lo system of counting cards, and it was easy to pick up counting as you watched, learned and counted along. At first it was quite difficult to keep up with the count. Seeing a 3 and thinking -1, or a J and thinking +1 is not something that comes naturally. It requires a little bit of practise and conditioning of the mind, but once you start to get the hang of it, it's not too difficult. All you're doing is adding or taking away away 1 from a running count.

I spent a week practicing how to count cards. Running through decks, counting in pairs, dealing to myself whilst I played and counted. By the end of the week I could count down a deck in less than 25 seconds, and I was never off by more than 1, most of the time counting down to a perfect zero.


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